Art Project 2036 — Technical Feasibility Study
CNSA Rover Fleet Analysis | July 2026
1. Project Overview
The Nazca on the Moon project proposes drawing a stylized ape figure on the lunar surface using light-colored highland regolith deposited onto the dark basaltic maria, mirroring the technique used by the Nazca people in the Peruvian desert (ca. 500 BCE – 500 CE).
This study analyzes two scenarios:
Key Assumptions
2. Image Analysis & Scale Determination
The uploaded image (nazcs_moon_3 (kopija).jpg) was analyzed via pixel-level measurement of the stylized ape silhouette against the lunar disk.
ParameterImage (pixels)RatioPhysical
Moon diameter2,012 px—3,474 km
Ape height197 px9.79%389 km
Ape width101 px5.02%174 km
Line width~50 px2.5%~1.95 km
Visibility: A 389 km feature is ~11% of the Moon's diameter. The smallest naked-eye lunar features visible from Earth are ~1–2 km under ideal conditions. This ape would be easily visible to the unaided eye.
3. Scenario 1: Image-Scale Ape (389 km)
Material Requirements
Volume: 3,100 km × 1.95 km × 0.15 m = 906,750,000 m³
Mass: 906,750,000 m³ × 1,500 kg/m³ = 1,360,125,000 metric tons
Equivalent to a small mountain range of light highland regolith.
Rover Productivity Model
A hypothetical "Yutu-class hauler" is modeled, extrapolating from CNSA's Yutu-2 rover (140 kg, 200 m/h top speed) to a cargo-optimized variant operating in 1/6 g.
Rover Fleet Required
TimelineConservativeOptimistic
100 years~454,000 rovers~136,000 rovers
200 years~227,000 rovers~68,000 rovers
Not Feasible This is a planetary-scale megaproject. Even with 200 years and optimistic productivity, ~68,000 rovers exceed any conceivable 2036-era logistics. The project only becomes practical if scaled down to ~10 km or smaller.
4. Scenario 2: Original-Scale Ape (100 m)
Material Requirements
Figure length: 100 m (true Nazca monkey scale) | Line width: 0.5 m | Depth: 0.15 m
Total line length: ~1,000 m | Volume: 75 m³ | Mass: 112.5 metric tons
Location & Logistics
Mare Tranquillitatis (Sea of Tranquility) — Highland source at the Apennine foothills, only 300 m away. The short one-way haul is the key enabler.
Fleet: 3 CNSA-class hauler rovers working in parallel.
Round-Trip Breakdown (Moderate Scenario)
PhaseTime
Empty to highlands (300 m)1.5 h
Collect / scoop material0.75 h
Loaded back to mare (300 m)2.5 h
Deposit & pattern the line0.75 h
Total per trip5.5 h
Time to Complete
ScenarioPayloadTrips / RoverEarth Years
Conservative200 kg188~11.8 years
Moderate300 kg125~4.6 years
Optimistic400 kg94~2.3 years
Feasible With the highlands only 300 m away, the short haul distance makes this project highly feasible. The moderate scenario (~4.6 years with 3 rovers) is realistic for a 2036-era CNSA lunar base infrastructure project.
5. Comparative Summary
Image-Scale Ape (389 km)
Material: 1.36 billion metric tons
Rovers (100 yr, cons.): ~454,000
Rovers (100 yr, opt.): ~136,000
Not Feasible by 2036
Original-Scale Ape (100 m)
Material: 112.5 metric tons
Rovers: 3 CNSA-class haulers
Time (moderate): ~4.6 years
Time (optimistic): ~2.3 years
Feasible
Key Insight
The difference between the two scenarios is a factor of ~12 million in mass. Scaling down from the image's artistic vision to the actual Nazca dimensions transforms an impossible megaproject into an achievable mission.
Recommendation
For a 2036 launch window, the original-scale (100 m) ape in Mare Tranquillitatis is the only viable option. It requires only 3 rovers, ~113 tons of regolith, and 2–5 years of operation — well within CNSA's demonstrated capabilities.
6. Technical Notes & References
Data Sources
Methodology
Assumptions
Limitations
Prepared for the Nazca on the Moon Art Project, 2036
Analysis generated: July 2026
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